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NC

NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ (NECB)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Solid quarter with EPS of $0.87 diluted and total revenue of $26.95M, modestly above S&P Global consensus EPS $0.84* and revenue $26.80M*, as net interest margin (NIM) stabilized sequentially to 5.38% and asset quality remained pristine (zero non‑performing loans) .
  • YoY comparisons remain pressured by lower asset yields following Fed cuts (NIM 5.38% vs 5.68% YoY), driving slight YoY declines in net interest income and EPS, partly offset by lower funding costs and strong fee traction .
  • Funding mix improvement continued (brokered CDs down; money market up) and management diversified funding via $170M in borrowings; total deposits fell 9% YTD, but mix optimization and liquidity access remained robust .
  • Loan demand remains strong with unfunded commitments >$645M and continued growth in NYC cooperative and Eastern Massachusetts multi‑family lending; construction balances declined on paydowns as projects completed .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Asset quality exceptional: zero NPLs; non‑performing assets/total assets fell to 0.03% following sale of a Bronx OREO at no loss; ACL/loans steady at 0.25% .
    • NIM stabilization QoQ: 5.38% vs 5.35% in Q2 despite rate headwinds; efficiency ratio improved QoQ to 38.40% from 40.52% .
    • Management pipeline strength: “Loan demand remains strong with outstanding unfunded commitments exceeding $645 million at September 30, 2025” and momentum in NYC co‑op/multi‑family lending .
  • What Went Wrong

    • NIM and yields still lower YoY due to Fed cuts (asset yield down 74 bps YoY in Q3), dragging YoY net interest income and EPS despite volume growth .
    • Non‑interest income down YoY (-24.8%) on lower unrealized gains on equity securities; partially offset by higher fees .
    • Deposit balances down 9.3% YTD; offset by mix shift (money market up) and higher borrowings to diversify funding .

Financial Results

Quarterly results (GAAP; $ in millions, except per‑share and %). Total revenue calculated as Net Interest Income + Total Non‑Interest Income.

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total Revenue ($)$25.50 (NII $24.26 + Non‑interest $1.24) $25.93 (NII $25.07 + Non‑interest $0.86) $26.95 (NII $25.94 + Non‑interest $1.01)
Net Interest Income ($)$24.26 $25.07 $25.94
Non‑Interest Income ($)$1.24 $0.86 $1.01
Net Income ($)$10.57 $11.17 $11.87
Diluted EPS ($)$0.78 $0.82 $0.87
Net Interest Margin (%)5.11% 5.35% 5.38%
Efficiency Ratio (%)41.64% 40.52% 38.40%
ROA (%)2.12% 2.27% 2.35%
ROE (%)12.98% 13.37% 13.84%

Q3 2025 actual vs S&P Global consensus

MetricConsensusActualBeat/(Miss)
Diluted EPS ($)0.84*0.87 +0.03*
Total Revenue ($M)26.80*26.95 +0.15*

Values retrieved from S&P Global*

KPIs and balance sheet (period‑end unless noted)

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total Deposits ($B)$1.586 $1.479 $1.515
Borrowings ($M)$0 $135 $170
Non‑performing Assets / Total Assets (%)0.26% 0.04% 0.03%
ACL / Total Loans (%)0.30% 0.26% 0.25%
Unfunded Commitments ($M)>$636 >$645
Construction Loans ($M)$1,287.2 $1,323.5 $1,385.7
Multi‑family Loans ($M)$253.0 $292.6 $298.4

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Financial guidance (revenue, margins, OpEx, tax)FY/Q4 2025None providedNone provided
Dividend per shareQ2 2025Declared $0.20/share payable Aug 6, 2025 No new dividend declaration in Q3 earnings PR Maintained (no update)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q3 2025 transcript was not available in our document index as of this analysis; themes below reflect management’s published commentary across recent quarters.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025, Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Loan demand & pipeline“Loan demand is strong with originations and outstanding commitments robust and increasing.” (Q1) “Unfunded commitments >$636M” (Q2) “Outstanding unfunded commitments exceeding $645M” (Q3) Strong and growing
Focus areas: construction, NYC co‑ops, MA multi‑familyEmphasis on construction in high demand/absorption areas (Q1) Emphasis continued; NYC cooperative program growing; MA multi‑family growth (Q3) Consistent expansion
Funding mix & costsRetail high‑yield money market growth; brokered CDs reduced; borrowings introduced by Q2 ($135M) Continued brokered CD reduction; money market up; borrowings $170M; strategy to diversify funding and reduce cost of funds Ongoing optimization
Rate environment & NIMNIM pressured by lower asset yields post 2024 cuts (Q1) NIM 5.38%; YoY down 30 bps; asset yields lower after Fed cuts incl. Sept 2025 Stabilizing QoQ, down YoY
Asset qualityTwo OREOs at Q1; sold Bronx OREO at no loss by Q2; NPA ratio 0.04% (Q2) NPLs = 0; NPAs/Assets 0.03%; ACL/loans 0.25% (Q3) Improving

Management Commentary

  • “We are once again pleased to be able to report continued strong performance throughout our entire loan portfolio... Loan demand remains strong with outstanding unfunded commitments exceeding $645 million at September 30, 2025.” — Kenneth A. Martinek, Chairman & CEO .
  • “Our New York City cooperative corporation lending program continues to grow, as does our multi-family lending throughout Eastern Massachusetts.” .
  • Recognition: Ranked #1 nationwide for banks < $5B assets and #2 among top 25 banks by Bank Director Ranking Banks 2025; prior recognitions from Piper Sandler and Raymond James cited .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was not available via our document sources; MarketBeat lists the event but does not provide a full transcript for citation at this time .
  • No additional call-specific Q&A details or guidance clarifications could be verified.

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q3 2025: EPS $0.84*, revenue $26.80M*. Actual: EPS $0.87, revenue $26.95M — modest beats on both; small sequential improvement in NIM and efficiency ratio support the outperformance versus expectations .
  • Prior quarters also modestly exceeded consensus EPS (Q2: $0.82 vs $0.79*; Q1: $0.76 vs $0.77* slight miss) indicating generally steady delivery through 2025 YTD*.
    Values retrieved from S&P Global*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Credit quality remains a differentiator: zero NPLs, NPAs/Assets 0.03%, and modest ACL given portfolio mix — supports lower credit cost run‑rate and ROA >2% .
  • Net interest margin appears to have found a floor, improving modestly QoQ to 5.38% despite lower asset yields; continued deposit mix optimization and diversified borrowings are key levers into Q4 .
  • Funding strategy is working: brokered CDs down sharply YTD; money market balances up; borrowings now provide incremental flexibility — expect focus on cost of funds to continue in 2026 planning .
  • Pipeline remains strong with >$645M unfunded commitments and ongoing growth in NYC co‑ops and MA multi‑family; construction balances ebb/flow with completions and refinancing, but origination engine is active .
  • Operating efficiency improved (38.4% efficiency ratio), suggesting room for positive operating leverage if NIM stabilizes and fee traction continues .
  • Watch items: sustained pressure on asset yields if rate cuts persist; deposit competition; and continued execution on funding mix to protect NIM .
  • Near‑term: modest estimate revisions upward for EPS/revenue are plausible given Q3 beats*; medium‑term: thesis centers on above‑peer profitability, pristine credit, and disciplined funding strategy.